it to the home stretch of the 2009-2010 Oscar season. Looking back , it's funny how much things have changed over the course of the past 12 months. Shutter Island went from being a surefire contender set for an October release to being a mid February release. The Lovely Bones, Nine and Public Enemies fell from their once golden sure lock statuses. And Avatar was still a mystery to most of the film-going public let alone bloggers and critics.But that's the exciting thing about an Oscar race that proves to be unpredictable. It's always exhilarating to be kept in the dark guessing until the last moment, principally because it gives people like myself, Nathaniel Rogers, Sasha Stone and Kris Tapley things to write about. It also keeps my passion for writing about film strong, which in of itself is all the payment I need to satisfy my love for movies and the Oscars.
Before I move on to my final predictions, I want to make it clear that even now, the night before we find out who will be nominated, nobody knows anything. For all I know, Avatar could end up snubbed like The Dark Knight in favor of a safer film like The Blind Side (though to be honest, that may be stretching it a bit). any actor or actress could come out of nowhere to steal a previously thought to be locked performers nod. Anything can, and possibly will happen tomorrow morning when Anne Hathaway reads off the nominees. Which is another reason why I love years like this and any other.
I have come to think of myself as a respectable prognosticator. Am I on the level of a Ryan Adams or Sasha Stone? No, but I am proud of what I believe to be a honed talent. I love calculating with hopefully strong precision box office numbers and predictions.
Flat out, I love the Oscars, and nights like these are the prime reason for it. I extend out a wish of good luck to the more experienced bloggers and prognosticators, an extensive amount more so than I, and the same goes for people who write down their predictions on pads of paper at home for their own enjoyment.
Moments like this are ours for the taking, and with that, here are my final Oscar nominees predictions, with each category provided one alternate (because, I need some leverage room.)
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Best Motion Picture
- Avatar
- District 9
- An Education
- The Hurt Locker
- Inglourious Basterds
- Precious: Based on the novel by Sapphire
- A Serious Man
- Star Trek
- Up
- Up in The Air
Alt: Invictus
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Best Director of a Motion Picture
- Katherine Bigelow for The Hurt locker
- Neill Blomkamp for District 9
- James Cameron for Avatar
- Quentin Tarantino for Inglourious Basterds
- Jason Reitman for Up in The Air
Alt: Lee Daniels for Precious: Based on the novel by Sapphire
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Best Actor in a Leading Role
- Jeff Bridges for Crazy Heart
- George Clooney for Up in The Air
- Colin Firth for A Single Man
- Morgan Freeman for Invictus
- Jeremy Renner for The Hurt Locker
Alt: Tobey Maguire for Brothers
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Best Actress in a Leading Role
-Sandra Bullock for The Blind side
- Helen Mirren for The last Station
- Carey Mulligan for An Education
- Gabourey Sidibe for Precious: Based on the novel by Sapphire
- Meryl Streep for Julie & Julia
Alt: Nope, this is the 5.
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Best Actor in a Supporting Role
- Matt Damon for Invictus
- Woody Harrelson for The Messenger
- Christian McKay for Me and Orson Welles
- Stanley Tucci for The Lovely Bones
- Christoph Waltz for Inglourious Basterds
Alt: Anthony Mackie for The Hurt Locker
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Best Actress in a Supporting Role
- Vera Farmiga for Up in The Air
- Anna Kendrick for Up in The Air
- Diane Kruger for Inglourious Basterds
- Mo'Nique for Precious: Based on the novel by Sapphire
- Julianne Moore for A Single Man
Alt: Penelope Cruz for Nine
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Best Adapted Screenplay
- District 9 by Neill Blomkamp & Terri Tatchell
- An Education by Nick Hornby
- Fantastic Mr. Fox by Wes Anderson & Noah Baumbach
- Precious: Based on the novel by Sapphire by Geoffrey Fletcher
- Up in The Air by Jason Reitman & Sheldon Turner
Alt: Crazy Heart
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Best Original Screenplay
- (500) Days of Summer by Scott Neustatder & Michael H. Weber
- The Hurt Locker by Mark Boal
- Inglourious Basterds by Quentin Tarantino
- A Serious Man by Joel Coen & Ethan Coen
- Up by Pete Docter, Tom McCarthy and Bob Peterson
Alt: Avatar
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Best Film Editing
- Avatar
- District 9
- The Hurt Locker
- Inglourious Basterds
- Up in The Air
Alt: Star Trek
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Best Cinematography
-Avatar
- The Hurt Locker
- Inglourious Basterds
- Nine
- The White Ribbon
Alt: District 9
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Best Art Directon
- Avatar
- District 9
- Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince
- Inglourious Basterds
- Sherlock Holmes
Alt: Public Enemies
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Best Costume Design
- Bright Star
- Inglourious Basterds
- Nine
- Sherlock Holmes
- The Young Victoria
Alt: Coco Avant Chanel
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Best Make-Up
- District 9
- The Imaginarium of Docter Parnassus
- Star Trek
Alt: Once again, nope, this is the 5.
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Best Visual F/X
- Avatar
- District 9
- Star Trek
Alt: And yet again, this is the 5.
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Best Original Score
- Avatar by James Horner
- Fantastic Mr. Fox by Alexandre Desplat
- The Informant! by Marvin Hamlisch
- Sherlock Holmes by Hans Zimmer
- Up by Michael Giacchino
Alt: Star Trek by Michael Giacchino
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Best Original Song
- "I See You" from Avatar
- "The Weary Kind" from Crazy Heart
- "(I Want To) Come Home" from Everybody's Fine
- "Cinema Italiano" from Nine
- "Almost There" from The Princess and the Frog
Alt: "Down in New Orleans" from The Princess and the Frog
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Best Sound Editing
- Avatar
- District 9
- The Hurt Locker
- Star Trek
- Up
Alt: Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen
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Best Sound Mixing
- Avatar
- District 9
- The Hurt Locker
- Star Trek
- Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen
Alt: Up
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Best Animated Feature
- Coraline
- Fantastic Mr. Fox
- Ponyo
- The Princess and the Frog
- Up
Alt: Cloudy With A Chance of Meatballs
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Best Foreign Language Film
- Ajami, Israel
- A Prophet, France
- Samson & Delilah, Australia
- The White Ribbon, Germany
- Winter in Wartime, Netherlands
Alt: The Secret in their Eyes, Argentina
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Best Documentary Feature
- The Beaches of Agnes
- The Cove
- Every Little Step
- Food Inc.
- Mugabe and the White African
Alt: Burma VJ: Reporting from a closed country
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And thats all folks. The Oscar's race for the nominations is over as of 5 AM tomorrow morning, or for those of us in Florida, 8 AM. It's been a great year, as I pointed out in my personal Oscar Hut Awards that happen to be available to read below! But now the ballots are in, the reviews have been read, precursors collected, and box office reciepts sent in. Theres nothing left to do but wait in eager anticipation for tomorrow morning;s announcement. Will I sleep soundly tonight? Probably not, the excitement already energinizes me. Yet I hope all of you can rest assured knowing that in the end, with luck, the right films will be acknowledged with nominations from the Academy of Motion Picture Arts ans Sciences. See you tomorrow Oscar, bright and early.
- Tyler j. Pratt
The Oscar Hut
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