In the past 6 months of stateside releases, it's suprising to say that only a few men and women have been truly exceptional in lead roles. The past few years have seen people like Richard Jenkins and Julie Christy reap Osar bids from pre June releases, but this year could change that.
On the Best Actor front the only notable males have been Robert Downey Jr. for The Soloist and, suprisingly, Seth Rogen for his career changing role in Observe and Report. Other notable performers like Russell Crowe and Jesse Eisenberg have fallen by the wayside due to underwhelming box office results, and Joaquin Phoenix who impressed in Two Lovers has apparently retired, diverting attention from the film. OPnly Clive Owen has been able to truly standout, however he will never be awarded for Duplicity.
The ladies meanwhile have seen even slimmer pickens. Amy Adams has given us the most notable female performance of the last six months in a movie that gained no traction.
Ditto for Paltrow in Two Lovers. And Julia Roberts, despite having excellent pressence and chemistry with Clive Owen, will never see an Oscar for Duplicity.
So, my prediction? No Lead Acting bids will come from a pre June 1st release.
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