The battle for Best Motion Picture-Drama seems to be a two horse race between The Curious Case of Benjamin Button and Slumdog Millionaire, but I think that given Slumdogs popularity when combined with the Mumbai tradgedy and the films precursor near sweep that the edge has to go to Slumdog Millionaire.
Best Motion Picture Comedy or Musical is a difficult race to predict. Usually when only one musical is nominated in this race it wins, but despite its poularity with audiences the film itself is horrible. Burn After Reading was good, but i doubt we'll see the Coen's on stage this year. In Bruges, I think is the dark horse that could upset for the win but something feels wierd about it. So that leaves Happy-Go-Lucky and Vicky Cristina Barcelona. Happy-Go-Lucky is an international movie which could be a good thing but in the end I think people want to see Woody winning again.
Best Actor-Drama goes to either Penn or Rourke, its that simple. Mickey Rourke needs this more than Penn right now but I think he'll get his due at the SAG awards, not here. So, Sean Penn wins and continues toward oscar number two.
Best Actor-Comedy or Musical is another tough race in which anyone but Brendan Gleeson can win. James Franco is the hip choice, Dustin Hoffman is a beloved vet, Javier Bardem would be the obvious winner if VCB sweeps here, and Collin Farell was just absolutely phenominal in In Bruges. So who wins ? My pick is Dustin Hoffman because he's the beloved vet who you can count on for a great speech. Watch out for James Franco though..
Best Actress-Drama goes to Anne Hathaway I think because she's young, popular, and because this race is just too crowded to pick from and i'm in a lazy mood.
Best Actress Comedy or Musical goes to Sally Hawkins because she truly desrves it. She gave a marvelous performance that put a big smile on my face. However, if somehow Rebecca Hall were to win I would be xtremely overjoyed.
Best Supporting Actor- Heath Ledger. Period.
Best Supporting Actress: I would be stupid to bet against Penelope Cruz at a show that loves stars and international performers, plus she was actually pretty damn good in Vicky.
Best Director- No matter which film wins best picture, Danny Boyle has this one in the bag.
Best Screenplay- Slumdog Millionaire will wrap this one up.
Best Score- See above
Best Original Song-Bruce is bruce and always will be. The globes know that. The Wrestler wins it.
Best Animated Film- Wall-e, the biggest lock of the night.
Best Foreign Film- Waltz With Bashir because it was good, the subject is timely, and Ari Folman has at least two more great speeches in him for this season.
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